How Polls stand before Election Day:

By: Asa Montreaux

Harris leads Trump 49%-48% in the HarrisX/Forbes poll, which was taken between Wednesday and Friday and has a margin of error of one point.

The vice president(Kamala Harris) has a four-point lead (51%-47%) in a new PBS News/NPR/Marist survey.

She has a two-point lead, 49%-47%, in a Morning Consult survey of likely voters out Sunday with a margin of error of one point—a slight tightening of the race since Harris led by three points last week, and four points in two prior Morning Consult polls.

The vice president has a three-point 49%-46% lead in an ABC/Ipsos poll, compared to her 51%-47% lead last week and her 50%-48% edge in early October.

NBC News and Emerson College polls out Sunday show the two candidates tied at 49% 

Yahoo News/YouGov survey also produces a 47%-47% deadlock.

Harris leads Trump 49%-47% among likely voters in an Economist/YouGov survey out Wednesday, with 2% unsure and roughly 3% backing other candidates (margin of error 3.6)—a slight narrowing from Harris’ 49%-46% edge last week.

Harris is up 51%-47%—with just 3% still undecided—in a very large likely voter poll by the Cooperative Election Study, a survey backed by several universities and conducted by YouGov, which polled around 50,000 people from Oct. 1 to 25.

Other polls show near-ties: The candidates were deadlocked in recent polls by The New York Times/Siena College, and CNN/SSRS, while Harris leads by just one point in polls by Reuters/Ipsos and CBS/YouGov.

The widely followed NY Times poll represented a decline in support for Harris since the newspaper’s previous poll in early October showed her with a 49%-46% lead over Trump. She still leads 49-48 percent. The NY Times shows Trump ahead by one point in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Harris ahead by one point in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Trump is ahead 48% to 46% in a CNBC survey of registered voters released Thursday (margin of error 3.1), 

Trump is leading 47% to 45% in a Wall Street Journal registered voter poll out Wednesday (margin of error 2.5)—a shift in Trump’s favor since August, when Harris led 47% to 45% in a Journal survey.

Harris erased Trump’s lead over Biden since announcing her candidacy on July 21, though her edge has decreased over the past two months, peaking at 3.7 points in late August, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted polling average.

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As Mail-in ballots come in, the predominantly Democratic rush will likely favour Harris in the actual election results. In person ballots are more often Republican than Mail-in ballots, so we will be waiting to see the final result of the election for at least a few hours after polls begin to close. However, if the Democratic side secures a lot of votes in key states, and has enough electoral votes early on, we will likely see a final result before morning on the east coast.