How Americans are voting, if the election was today
By: Bison Yates The 2024 presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remains tightly contested, with polls across multiple states showing narrow margins that reflect an evenly divided electorate. Data from various sources highlights just how competitive this election has become, with Harris slightly ahead in some key battlegrounds, though her lead is not guaranteed. Harris leads by a slim margin in the popular vote, but recent national polls provide different snapshots of the race. For instance, a New York Times/Siena College poll released on September 8 shows Trump leading by 1 point nationwide, while other polls like Emerson College and CNN’s "Poll of Polls" show Harris with a 2-4 point lead. Independents—a critical voting bloc—favor Harris in some polls by as much as 49.5% compared to Trump's 41.8%. Harris’ overall national lead averages between 1-3 percentage points, though these numbers fluctuate as new data is released weekly. * The real contest lies in
